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The South
Florida Conservative



STATE OF THE STRAITWeek Ending Monday, September 14, 2026 — 20:50 EDT
Saudi Arabia built the East-West Pipeline precisely so its crude would not be hostage to Hormuz. The attack on that pipeline, combined with Houthi advances toward Bab el-Mandeb, demonstrates the next stage of the contest: the battle is migrating from the chokepoint to the network designed to bypass the chokepoint.
lhpgop
1 hour ago13 min read


Florida’s Three Proposed Constitutional Amendments for 2026A Hamiltonian, Federalist and Reaganite Interpretation
Florida voters will consider three proposed amendments to the Florida Constitution during the November 3, 2026 general election. Each amendment must receive at least 60 percent of the votes cast on that particular measure to become part of the state Constitution.
lhpgop
Sep 46 min read


Ocean Shield: Making the American Flag Worth Flying How insurance, protection and strategic cargo could rebuild the U.S. merchant fleet
The next maritime crisis will not wait for Washington to create an insurance portal, identify eligible ships, find escorts, negotiate policy language and determine which cargo should move first.
lhpgop
Sep 17 min read


Beyond Cheap Gas: Is the Venezuela Agreement a New Model of American Economic Power?
The most important feature of the Venezuela agreement may not be the number of barrels underground. It may be the range of choices those barrels could give the United States.
They could provide domestic price insurance, military fuel, refinery feedstock, diplomatic barter, sanctions resilience, investment income and leverage against both China and OPEC.
lhpgop
Aug 319 min read


PACIFICAPacific Strategic Intelligence WeeklyWeek Ending August 30, 2026 — 21:30
Philippine Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro told lawmakers that Manila intends to expand military drone capabilities, improve secure communications and acquire additional guided-missile corvettes.
lhpgop
Aug 3013 min read


Hochul at the Brink: When Noncooperation With ICE Becomes a Hostile Environment
If that message helps turn protest into interdiction—or hostility into injury—Hochul will not bear the criminal responsibility of the attacker. But neither will she be an innocent spectator. She will be a political leader who constructed the environment, received warnings about its consequences and continued moving toward the brink.
lhpgop
Aug 269 min read


State of the StraitWeek Ending Tuesday, August 25, 2026
The Strait of Hormuz remains legally open but commercially constricted. This week, Iran moved beyond threatening ships in general and began identifying specific vessels it claims violated Iranian transit rules—an effort to transform temporary wartime coercion into a lasting system of permissions, penalties and selective access.
lhpgop
Aug 2512 min read


WILL TRUMP BE ENDING THE KOREAN WAR?
A Trump announcement proposing an end-of-war process is a high and rising possibility. A political declaration after a Trump–Kim meeting is plausible. A complete treaty, detailed verification regime and durable economic settlement would require much longer negotiations.
lhpgop
Aug 249 min read


STEPPING STONES TO SECURITY. Evaluating Temporary International Administration of Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, and Lesser Tunb as a Maritime Security Option.
The broader strategic challenge remains unchanged: preserving freedom of navigation while reducing incentives for repeated militarization of disputed territory.
lhpgop
Aug 215 min read


Contracts Before CombatRethinking American Strategy in Africa
The United States should arrive in Africa offering contracts before combat, commerce space before battlespace, and partnership before prescription. That approach does not ask America to surrender its own interests; it recognizes that American interests can be advanced by creating relationships in which African countries, African businesses, American companies, and American workers all have something tangible to gain from stability.
lhpgop
Aug 2013 min read


Leverage Without Rupture: Trump’s Multi-Track Diplomacy on the Korean Peninsula
South Korea continues to receive an American security commitment while facing pressure to contribute more to both its own defense and wider allied objectives.
lhpgop
Aug 195 min read


PACIFICAWeekly Pacific Strategic & Commercial IntelligenceWeek Ending: Sunday, August 16, 2026 — 9:54 p.m. EDT
Strategically, however, Japan faces simultaneous pressure from several directions:
China to the southwest and west;North Korea to the west;Russia to the north.
This helps explain why Japan's defense, maritime, energy and resource policies are increasingly converging.
lhpgop
Aug 178 min read


WHO REALLY CAUGHT MAINE’S $45 MILLION MEDICAID PROBLEM?
Maine itself now says that improper payments identified through federal Payment Error Rate Measurement audits must be reimbursed to the federal government, while the state can seek recoupment from providers when provider error caused them.
That's what happens after the money has gone out.
lhpgop
Aug 165 min read


U.S. Treasury: Trump's Key WarfighterThe War Department Most Americans Never Think About
Treasury's success should eventually be measured not simply by how much Iranian commerce it can stop but by whether financial access can be exchanged for meaningful changes in Iranian behavior.
lhpgop
Aug 1617 min read


The Mystery of the Vanishing CoalWhat Balochistan’s Coal Trade May Tell Us About the Economics of Insurgency
If corruption exists within the coal economy, beneficiaries could include businessmen, brokers, transporters or officials with no ideological connection to the BLA whatsoever.
That possibility may actually be central to the investigation.
lhpgop
Aug 1124 min read


STATE OF THE STRAITWeekly Strategic Intelligence NewsletterIssue No. 6
ssue No. 6 of State of the Strait examines how Tehran is tying the reopening of Hormuz to the wider postwar settlement, even as shipping contracts, oil prices rise, and the international system searches for ways around Iranian coercion.
lhpgop
Aug 1115 min read


PACIFICAPacific Intelligence, Commerce & Strategic Assessment
strategic competition is increasingly being expressed through infrastructure, industrial capacity, mineral supply chains, maritime access, workforce development, and commercial relationships rather than through military activity alone.
lhpgop
Aug 1011 min read


The Nuclear Republic: Trump’s Push for a More Energy-Secure America
rump's nuclear initiative should be understood within that larger framework.
The administration is not abandoning oil and gas in favor of nuclear power. It is simultaneously encouraging fossil-fuel production, LNG exports, nuclear construction and expansion of the infrastructure required to support them.
lhpgop
Aug 107 min read


Who Pays When a Tanker Is Hit?The Financial Architecture of Maritime Conflict
Location: Strait of Hormuz. Time: 0300 hours.A fully laden tanker makes slow headway through the darkness when a violent explosion tears through the silence. Steel shudders, alarms begin to clang, and the crew races to emergency stations. Within minutes the operator, charterer, insurers, cargo owners, financiers, and governments are responding. What began as an attack on a single ship has become an international commercial event.
lhpgop
Aug 62 min read


STATE OF THE STRAIT. ISSUE #5 WEEK ENDING AUGUST 4, 2026
Taken together, these developments suggest that the Strait of Hormuz is no longer simply the focal point of a regional military confrontation.
It has become a laboratory demonstrating how modern maritime commerce responds to sustained geopolitical competition.
The implications extend well beyond the Gulf.
lhpgop
Aug 422 min read
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