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The South
Florida Conservative



TRUMP SPEECH BLACKBALLED BY BIG MEDIA. ANOTHER BLACKEYE FOR IMPARTIALITY
his debate was never fundamentally about President Trump.
Nor was it about any single speech.
It is about whether institutions that continue to present themselves as impartial arbiters of public information can maintain that reputation while increasingly acting as editors of acceptable political discourse.
lhpgop
1 day ago4 min read


The Shortest Way to Iran Is Through Cuba?Getting to Know UANI—and Why Cuba Suddenly Matters
Political transitions create opportunities—not only for the people seeking freedom—but also for governments, financial institutions, investors and policy organizations hoping to shape what comes next.
lhpgop
2 days ago5 min read


STEPPING STONES TO SECURITY. Evaluating Temporary International Administration of Abu Musa, Greater Tunb, and Lesser Tunb as a Maritime Security Option
The broader strategic challenge remains unchanged: preserving freedom of navigation while reducing incentives for repeated militarization of disputed territory.
lhpgop
3 days ago5 min read


STATE OF THE STRAIT. 7/14/26
The political positions now appear to be:
United States: The Strait must remain open; Iranian attacks will trigger military retaliation; economic relief is conditional; and the cost of protection may be transferred to commercial beneficiaries.
Iran: Tehran continues to claim a right to authorize, tax, regulate, or close passage, while portraying attacks as enforcement actions or responses to American aggression.
Gulf states: Governments increasingly hold Iran publicly resp
lhpgop
4 days ago16 min read


RO KHANNA CHANNELS JUICY SMOLLIET AND GETS LOST IN TRANSLATION IN PALESTINE? CLAIMS J33S ARE BAD.
One report, citing unnamed Israeli sources, claims that Khanna declined opportunities to meet with former Israeli hostages, October 7 survivors, Druze leaders, and other Israeli officials,
lhpgop
7 days ago3 min read


STATE OF THE STRAIT. WHAT'S HAPPENING IN THE US/IRAN CONFLICT JULY 9, 2026
Oil traders are not saying Iran is harmless. They are saying Iran’s behavior now has a recognizable range. Gulf states are not pretending the threat is gone. They are working around it: rerouting, reassessing, relying on naval protection, adjusting insurance, and waiting to see whether the United States restores a formal blockade or merely tightens economic pressure by revoking Iranian oil waivers.
lhpgop
Jul 104 min read


THE SECOND ELECTORATE. What Los Angeles' Late Ballots Are Really Telling Us
When one candidate consumes the overwhelming majority of a precinct's electorate, the remaining vote inventory becomes increasingly important to understanding the performance of everyone else.
lhpgop
Jun 83 min read


"LESS THAN ZERO" CALIFORNIA ELECTION HIJINX AND THE SPENCER PRATT DEBACLE
If Spencer Pratt truly received zero votes in a large batch while his opponents received tens of thousands, the event would be statistically extraordinary.
The probability would be so small as to effectively approach zero.
lhpgop
Jun 63 min read


The Petro Factor: Will Colombia's Election Be Accepted as Legitimately Democratic?
hroughout Latin America, democratic legitimacy increasingly depends not on procedures alone but on public trust.
lhpgop
Jun 14 min read


WHAT TRUMP MAY BE GETTING WRONG WITH IRAN
If internal Iranian leadership remains stable enough to even honor long-term commitments.
That is an extraordinary number of assumptions upon which to build a strategic settlement.
The problem many critics see is not merely the possibility that Iran could openly “break” an agreement.
lhpgop
May 254 min read


THE MANY FACES OF "CUBA LIBRE!"
The political consequences inside the United States could endure for years.
That means any serious Cuba policy must contain two parallel tracks simultaneously:pressure against authoritarian structures,and preparation for humanitarian and institutional stabilization if those structures weaken or fail.
lhpgop
May 164 min read


Hormuz Update: Pressure, Perception, and the Real Chokepoint
Restore flow too broadly and leverage may dissipate before the central dispute is addressed. Maintain maximum pressure indefinitely and coalition cohesion, domestic economic tolerance, and global energy stability may erode.
lhpgop
Apr 273 min read


THE CONFLICT TRIANGLE. UKRAINE, RUSSIA AND THE USA
Ukraine seeks restoration.Russia seeks leverage.The United States seeks multiple outcomes that cannot all be achieved simultaneously.
lhpgop
Apr 244 min read


FLORIDA REPUBLICAN GUBERNATORIAL SCORECARD.
Viewed through this framework, the most striking observation is that none of the three campaigns are yet fully optimized for Independents or for Republicans who do not identify strongly with either major factional label.
lhpgop
Apr 205 min read


MICHIGAN IS NOT ABOVE THE LAW. #FAFO
The United States has long insisted—correctly—that both access to the ballot and the integrity of the ballot are essential to a functioning democracy. These are not competing values. They are mutually reinforcing.
lhpgop
Apr 204 min read


Latin America Isn’t Poor—It’s Fragmented
When policy environments are volatile, when regulatory frameworks shift unpredictably, and when contract enforcement is uneven, capital does not disappear—it withdraws.
lhpgop
Apr 147 min read


Hungary Is Not a Harbinger: Why Orbán’s Loss Doesn’t Predict a U.S. Democratic Wave
If Hungary offers any lesson for American observers, it is not that populism has been rejected, but that populist governance must eventually confront the cumulative effects of time in power.
lhpgop
Apr 134 min read


NYC, MAMDHANI AND SOCIALIST "MONOPOLY"
At the individual level, the landlord faces a narrowing set of options: operate at a loss, cut expenses where possible, or attempt to exit the market. At the systemic level, the city faces a more dangerous shift: the gradual erosion of private housing viability.
lhpgop
Apr 123 min read


Citizen’s Guide to the U.S.–Iran ConflictWhy the War Looks Different Than It Actually Is—and What You’re Not Being Told
Most Americans think they are watching a single conflict between the United States and Iran.
They are not.
They are watching two wars happening at the same time:
lhpgop
Apr 124 min read


DONALD TRUMP AND The Geneva Gambit: Law, Leverage, and the Reality Behind “Obliterating” Iran
Compellence strategies rely on pressure. Sometimes overwhelming pressure.
But international law draws a boundary:
You may target military objectives
You may not coerce a population by destroying the systems they rely on for survival
lhpgop
Apr 83 min read
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