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IS RUSSIA/CHINA'S ILLICIT WEAPONS AND TECH TRADE REACHING A TIPPING POINT?


Landscape of Russian Military Engagements in the Ukraine Conflict


The multifaceted nature of the Russian-Ukraine war extends beyond the frontline battles and into the strategic alliances and support systems that various opposition forces employ. This essay aims to analyze the dynamics of opposition forces, especially focusing on the movement and acquisition of arms and the involvement of external military influences. The intricate interplay between different nations, notably the United States, China, and North Korea, plays a pivotal role in shaping the outcomes of this conflict, often obscured by the overarching narrative of a straightforward war of aggression.



The Role of External Financing


The financial involvement of the United States in Ukraine has been a point of contention and speculation. It is widely acknowledged that significant funds are funneled into Ukraine's defense through military aid. However, these investments also raise questions about their long-term utility. For instance, the mention of the Biden administration trying to capitalize on the current geopolitical landscape before an anticipated shift in power highlights the urgency for securing strategic interests. The billions of dollars sent to Ukraine are not merely donations but investments that could influence future geopolitical alignments.



The Introduction of Mercenary Forces


One of the most striking aspects of the contemporary warfare landscape in Ukraine is the reported use of mercenary forces, including North Korean soldiers. The claim that Russian forces have purportedly “purchased” between 11,000 to 12,000 North Korean soldiers signifies a worrying trend in the reliance on foreign mercenaries in lieu of domestic troop strength. This reflects an adaptive warfare strategy, where traditional military structures are augmented by external manpower, highlighting the desperation of Russian forces.


Moreover, recent observations of Chinese military operations alongside North Korean units piqued interest and suggested that external involvement in the conflict could be broader than initially perceived. Reports of Chinese mercenaries operating within Ukraine introduce another layer of complexity. Should these soldiers be part of the Chinese military, it could imply a direct involvement of China in the conflict, using proxies rather than traditional troops to avoid direct confrontation with international scrutiny.



Comparative Conflict Dynamics


In contrasting the Ukrainian conflict with the Israeli-Iranian struggle, it becomes evident that while the latter primarily involves state actors and limited external support, the former is characterized by a convoluted network of alliances and military movements. The ongoing warfare in Ukraine resembles the attritional warfare of World War I, where trench-like stalemates result in insurmountable losses for both sides. The Ukrainian and Russian militaries face significant attrition, which raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of their forces.


Additionally, understanding the involvement of various actors like the Chinese ensures a detailed examination of how different nations utilize geopolitical conflicts to further their strategic interests. China’s indirect support through military supplies, albeit cloaked in denials, manifests through components of weapon systems sent to Russia for assembly. This clandestine support is crucial, as it underscores how military relationships can pivot subtly to enhance operational capabilities without triggering overt international backlash.



The Strategic Balance and Future Implications


The interplay between Russia and China is not only defined by mutual support but is also reflective of a precarious balance of power in Eurasia. As Russia becomes increasingly reliant on Chinese backing, especially through the exploitation of Siberian resources, a concerning trend of imperial ambitions emerges. China's historical interest in Siberia suggests that such alliances may eventually lead to territorial pressures in the future.


In conclusion, the complexity surrounding the Russian-Ukraine war illustrates the intricacies of modern warfare, where the lines between direct conflict, economic support, and military engagements blur. From the overlooked financial ties that fuel the Ukrainian defense to the alarming procurement of North Korean and potentially Chinese soldiers, the implications of these dynamics have far-reaching consequences, not only for the immediate conflict but also for future geopolitical stability. The evolving nature of these alliances demands a vigilant understanding of the multifaceted strategies employed by states involved in this ongoing struggle, as each maneuver could significantly reshape the contours of power in the region.


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The video transcript

Granted, we all know the billions and billions of dollars that, quote unquote, the Americans are putting in for the war effort, knowing most of which are going into the redevelopment bank of Ukraine for later use, but things are what things are. You'll notice there's one more set of billions that the Biden administration is trying to squeeze out before Donald Trump hopefully takes office in January. While we were discussing this, a notice came in to me from a very interesting source and we started to look into a couple of things. I got a call from the world famous foreman Mike. I had a quick note from him about whether or not he had seen the same thing, which was Chinese military operating near the Korean units that are fighting currently in Russia. I went to take a look at some of that and it's given us some interesting things to think about. Once again, think about this at home because nobody is going to be able to give you the information on the ground. There's absolutely no way currently, unless you're with the agencies involved, where you have a clear understanding of what is occurring. This warfare that is going on in the Ukraine-Russia battle is much different than the warfare occurring in the Israel-Iran and all of their allies battle. In one case, the Israeli one, we have one character, Israel, operating with one or two people who are supplying weapons, which is either by gift or by money, usually by money at this point, it seems like. So they are fighting directly with the Islamic Republic of Iran, plus their proxies who are also in the war business with Iran, sponsoring the proxies with weaponry, intelligence, and operations abilities. Now, in the Ukraine war, the Ukrainians are fighting pretty much the most unfluid war we have seen since World War I. Nothing is setting this thing up to be anything but a continuing bloodbath and the end of all Ukrainians between the age of 16 and 50. There won't be two or three of them left by the time this is over. Ditto with the Russians, as the Russians have had to stoop to, as we say now, the use of North Korean mercenary forces. This is an actual purchase from what I understand. Nobody has verified it yet, but we're pretty close to verifying it. The Russians pretty much bought between 11,000 to 12,000 North Korean soldiers from the president of North Korea to use on the battlefields of Ukraine. Now, the Chinese issue was the big one because those of you who remember Korea knew we were supposed to be fighting the Koreans. We ended up fighting the Chinese. The story that these Chinese, if I understand it correctly, and I was just glad for the tip-off for Mike, is the fact that Chinese mercenaries are indeed operating in Ukraine. There are videos that have interviews with them and things like that. Now, there's two things that can happen here. One, they can actually be nationalist soldiers. Let's just go down the list of what could be going on. The incident that I'm talking about, we'll do that first. The incident I'm talking about, the Ukrainians supposedly knocked out a bunch of these Korean soldiers who are supposedly actually worse than the Russian conscripts. In that same operation, I'm not saying mixed in with them, but in the same operation, they turned around and found a good handful of Chinese. Among the Chinese, they have captured at least one of them to interrogate. Now, that should give us a little more information, if that actually comes to fruition with a positive interrogation where somebody actually lives through it and they actually give you the right information. Fingers crossed for that, because there are a couple of things that can be happening. One, these Chinese mercenaries are actually members of the Chinese military who are being lend-leased in a different manner than the North Koreans. China still has to deal with America, and they know America up until January is going to be all wet in the panties over this Ukrainian war. Donald Trump pretty much has already signaled that the war is over once he gets in office. So a lot of things are being moved quickly to try to establish boundaries for when the peace talk comes, and to make these little pushes here, there, and everywhere else to get the best negotiations possible at the peace table. China has been supplying Russia with weapons. They say they're not, but if you read what it is, they send components to weapons systems. And then they have a maquiladora in Russia where they take the parts and they put them together, and now they have the weapons system. There are a number of articles out there. I would mention to you, because it's a funny name, it comes up to be ISIS when you look at it online. It is the Institute for Science and International Security. The one paper that came out on September 23, 2024, is Chinese export of restricted high-priority battlefield items to Russia. Look it up, people. You'll be pleasantly surprised. I'll have that when we do the long form of this article in the next couple of days. I don't know if we're going to get around to it today, because I'm doing this part instead, just so you guys have a feel. The long form with all the text and all will be at the southfloridaconservative.com. Anyway, back to the story. We find these Chinese that are there. First of all, doubtful that they are the officers of the North Koreans. The North Koreans are probably autonomous, operating directly under a commander on the Russian side. It supposedly was a small group of Chinese. If they are actually straight up mercenaries, it would not be surprising because the Chinese have a habit of trying to get Chinese out of the country. Overseas Chinese is a term, believe it. If somebody said they want to go fight for the Russians, the Chinese would make it available to them to do it. There are a couple of other questions that could have gone on here. You can have a totally different take on this than I do. When I'm asked questions about the United States Navy, can it take the Chinese even as messed up as our supply lines are and as garbage as our command structure is at the admiral level and directly below it? It's a garbage can. And the Pentagon, also a garbage can. Could we beat the Chinese? I can only say for myself, we will definitely win the first round regardless of what it is. That would be due to the professionalism and the excessive training of our men and women in the Navy and Marine Corps and the Coast Guard. They are the most professional and best trained forces on the planet. And I don't say that about a lot of stuff here. Would they survive a first encounter? If anyone's going to survive it, it's going to be us. Would we get mauled? Who knows? It depends on the situation. Would it be an ambush? Of course it would. Although we know this about the Navy, the Chinese army has had zero. They've been fighting with the Indians, don't get me wrong. They dick around with the Indians with snowball fights and shooting each other from a distance. But this is all very nomad, I'm stealing your goat, that kind of shit. So no. If they were to send these guys that were actually there as advisors or as not so much advisors as more or students of the game, then that would be a different story. If these were NCOs or field grade officers that were over there and just happened to get mangled up, that would be something to note. That would mean the Chinese are definitely thinking about a land war somewhere. Taiwan, interesting and all, but as they tell you, the Taiwan war, if it would happen, would be an entirely different thing than this. It's going to be brutal, it's going to be short, this and that, and the other thing. These guys are out trying to examine Western tactics and more importantly, they're out there to inspect captured or destroyed American and EU hardware. Very similar to what we had in Africa with the Cuban intelligence officers that were there. If they could find stuff that was unavailable, then they would go with it. It made a big difference in their lines. Let's hold on and see what happens here. So we're back to the recording, sorry about that. So yeah, situationally, there could be a few things going on here. The oddity now that you're going to start to see, and this is also available in a number of papers, you can easily search these. We'll have some more of it probably on the South Florida page, is the fact that Russia has been, you'll see the amounts of money they are spending with the Chinese to fight this war. They have also, when they don't have cash on hand, made deals to allow them to exploit various material and mineral rights, things like that in Siberia. The problem they have now, as everybody seems to know, except for most of the Russians, is China has wanted Siberia for quite some time. If China is able to consolidate in Siberia, the giant Achilles heel that it has, which is their non-ability to harness their own, they don't have an energy supply to handle what they need. They don't have the materials to make what they want. Everybody who tells you China is this big, scary country is a liar. I've been saying this for years. This was like England. Do you remember what England was like? England brought raw resources to England to manufacture and then ship back out. That way it retained all the money it thought. China does the same thing. China doesn't have giant resources of iron ore. It doesn't have giant resources of copper. It doesn't have giant resources of diamonds. It doesn't have oil. It's got the worst coal on the planet, high sulfur coal, which is killing their own people. They haven't been able to figure out how to run nuclear power correctly because all their technological stuff is designed to steal and copy things from other people. They have a couple supercomputers, which once again, they stole and copied from us. Basically, when you have guys that are just basically good counterfeiters, it doesn't allow for any real intellectual development of technology, which makes them constantly needing to steal. The problem they're going to have after the new election is we know who a lot of the traitors are in the Congress and the Senate. While we may not put them in jail or hang them or do things like that, the willingness to supply information to the People's Republic of China is going to stop around January 12th when the first of the guys is issued an arrest warrant for treason, espionage, whatever they want to get them under, and they know how to hurt them now. You're going to have that situation. China is a desperate cause. If they were to get involved in a war with us, and it's just starting to come up, I'll say, go back three years or whatever when I started doing these videos. People used to laugh at you when you say different things in these meetings. Now you'll see they're thinking about reissuing letters of marque if China were to go to war with the United States specifically, and we don't have the supply train to fight them. First of all, there's no reason to fight them in a Pacific-style World War II. Absolutely no reason to even fight them when we can seize every goddamn piece of shipping that they have in the world. Any port in the world, who's going to fight with us? If we go in any port, except for the Russians or the Koreans, there's not a port in Europe, there's not a port in Africa, there's no port anywhere. You know how Stephen Decatur got? We can go in and burn and destroy and imprison and seize any ship under their flag, and we know who they are. We're also allowed to then sell the ships and the cargo at auction anywhere we want, and nobody's going to say anything about it. Do you want to see how fast the Chinese transport of goods goes out the window? They have been guilty of doing any number of things, with also the Americans' help, don't get me wrong. As I said, I talked the other day about the American company that ensures illegal Iranian oil transfers. Who do you think is helping to subsidize the transport of all these cargo ships from China to the United States, or from cargo ships from China to wherever? If you notice, the Chinese do not get their ships fired out by any of the people down there on the Gulf of Aden. There's no reason to, because they're all on the same team. They do business with the Iranians as well. There are too many people on the other side who are actively involved in this warfare, versus us, the Indians to some extent, the Australians a little bit. The Filipino Navy does what it can, believe it or not. They're probably the most aggressive group of guys out in the Pacific right now. Shout out to the Filipino National Guard or Coast Guard, whoever they are. They are fighting with machetes and axes against the Chinese Coast Guard on sandbars in the Andaman Sea, for real. These are the things that are occurring. It's important to see if Russia is going to be dumb enough to allow itself to be invaded by China, which it is, by the way, being invaded by China on slow roll, covertly. It's just a matter of time before they do, because they've bled themselves so dry out there with the Ukraine. Honestly, worst case scenario, they'll nuke part of Russia. They don't give a shit. As far as they're concerned, that part of Siberia has not given up any materials in the last 200 years, so it's still a frozen landscape where you send novelists and Jews and whoever else to go die. That's what you're still up against. You're still running up against a one-man government, which is Vladimir Putin, who does not joke around. He also doesn't have a lot of the options that the Chinese have. The Chinese are running out of options because their leader has decided to run most of the smart guys out of that business as well. He realized that you can't keep that stupid communist philosophy going if things are getting better. That's why in the United States, they had to make things get worse so that socialism looked like a good idea to these lazy kids of the next generation. You understand where I'm coming from, right? Anyway, that's a start on it. Think about that over the weekend if you can. Don't be so afraid of these Chinese. Like I said, they're dangerous, but with the correct political will and military operations, you can inflict so much damage. They're going to hit us. There's no doubt in my mind they're going to hit us on our home ground. Every day, as somebody in the Viacom, any of these companies, AT&T, every day there are attacks against our telecom system, against our communication systems in general, against the wireless, against this, against that, against the other. We are under assault every day. For the last four years, even longer, because I will say Donald Trump did not have control of the government the four years he was in there. He did not. I say it to his face. I was out working for him the whole time. He did not have control of everything because people lied to him. That's the indictable offense. Mark Milley better run for fucking Switzerland because he lied to the president while he was the acting president. You don't lie to the president about where the troops are. All right. That's happened. That's happened with a number of them. Everybody who put their name on those lists is considered a traitor by a lot of people in this country right now. They should be doing the best to cut deals to save their lives. Although Donald Trump doesn't hold a grudge, there's another 249 pieces of garbage that do. 249 million, I mean, that do hold a grudge. They want to see something go on. Let's hope this other thing gets resolved because the Koreans don't seem to be such good soldiers. Kim Jong-un is not going to want to have to fill all those boxes back up and bring them home because he won't be able to say our victorious North Korean soldiers knocked out the Ukrainians because it isn't happening. The North Koreans are not used to fighting. They're not in the best shape. We know that they're not eating at the caloric level that they should. He did nothing probably to send them out with first-rate weaponry because he's getting them on the cheap. Human lives don't matter to these guys. You wanted 12,000 guys, you got them. Let's see what goes on and let's see what we can get out of information on these Chinese survivors of this freaking battle and see where China is really stepping into this thing. If they take any parts of Siberia and can hold it effectively, it changes to some extent how they do business. However, they are still, in my mind, functionally bankrupt because the yuan, which is their money, isn't worth shit, and the ruble, which is Russian money, isn't worth shit. They're trading to the equivalent of Confederate dollars in our old days, back and forth between each other. It's kind of like, I like you, you like me, blah, blah, blah. The good thing is Russia, if it decides to, and I don't know exactly how they handle their money, they have the gold to back their money. China, I don't believe, does. I know we don't for sure. As far as the winner on solid species backing, it's Russia. Okay. Have a good day and a good weekend. We'll see what else comes up.


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