CALIFORNIA SIT REP. JUDGE FREEZE NAT'L GUARDS TO ALLOW L.A. TO BURN. TRUMP STILL IN THE FIGHT

THE GUARDS MAY BE GONE, BUT THE MARINES REMAIN

🗂️ SITUATIONAL REPORT (SITREP)

Subject: Force Posture in Los Angeles — Impact of June 12 Court Ruling & Presidential OptionsDate: 12 June 2025Classification: UNRESTRICTED — For Public Briefing and Strategic Messaging

1️⃣ Executive Summary

• A federal court ruling on June 12, 2025 by Judge Charles Breyer has blocked the federalization of the California National Guard for use in Los Angeles by President Trump.

• The court order takes effect at 12:00 PM June 13, stripping federal control over Guard forces in California just before the anticipated June 14 protests/riots.

• The ruling does not affect active-duty federal forces under the President’s direct command.

• The President still maintains operational control of U.S. Marine forces and can legally reinforce LA with additional Camp Pendleton-based Marines if needed to protect federal property and personnel.

• The opposition’s legal timing appears designed to engineer an operational vacuum on the ground between June 13–19, ahead of the next court hearing on June 20.

2️⃣ Current Force Status

Force	Current Status	Command Authority	Legal Authority
California National Guard	Under Governor Newsom control as of 12:00 PM June 13	State (Title 32)	Tenth Amendment, Judge Breyer’s order
U.S. Marines (Los Angeles detachments)	Active — currently deployed guarding federal facilities	President (Title 10)	Insurrection Act, Art II CINC authority, 10 USC § 332-333
U.S. Marines (Camp Pendleton)	Available for deployment	President	Same as above
DHS / Federal Protective Service	Active, deployed	DHS / President	40 USC, DHS statutory powers
U.S. Marshals	Active, federal judicial protection priority	DOJ / President	28 USC powers
ICE / HSI	Active, but limited by lack of Guard backup	DHS / President	DHS/ICE authorities

3️⃣ Immediate Concerns

• June 14 Threat Window:

  • Widespread, coordinated protest activity planned, including violent elements.

  • Public calls for “occupation zones” and physical blockades around federal targets.

  • Intelligence suggests likely targeting of ICE facilities, federal courthouses, and critical infrastructure.

• Gap Created by Court Order:

  • No federally directed National Guard available to reinforce Marines or ICE.

  • State-controlled Guard likely to be politically restricted from aiding federal missions.

  • LAPD already showing signs of being unwilling or unable to commit to proactive riot control.

4️⃣ Presidential Options

✅ Maintain current Marine detachments protecting federal targets.✅ Deploy additional Marine forces from Camp Pendleton, which remains a ready force source under Title 10.✅ Invoke full Insurrection Act authority if local/state control deteriorates further, triggering new legal contest but opening full federal response.✅ Increase DHS, U.S. Marshals, and ICE tactical deployments where possible — but these forces lack the mass manpower of Guard units.

5️⃣ Strategic Risks

• Operational Overstretch:

  • Existing Marine detachments risk being overwhelmed without reinforcement.

  • Federal assets could be exposed to siege tactics if riot momentum builds unchecked June 14–19.

• Political Risk:

  • Any overt Marine presence on LA streets will trigger immediate media backlash, which will be used to argue “militarization” and suppression of protest.

• Judicial Risk:

  • A second round of litigation will attempt to block further Marine deployments under Insurrection Act grounds.

6️⃣ Conclusion

• The President retains command of key forces and legal authority to defend federal interests in Los Angeles.

• Judge Breyer’s ruling constrains but does not cripple federal response capacity.

• Camp Pendleton Marines are a vital option and should be positioned for rapid deployment if situational escalation warrants.

• The timing of this ruling is clearly structured to permit opposition groups to consolidate street presence before June 20 legal proceedings.

• Decisive leadership and clear constitutional messaging will be required to maintain lawful federal operations under increasing political and legal pressure.